Artículo



Dados vol. 52 n. 2 Rio de Janeiro 2009

Caminhos para o parlamento: candidatos e eleitos nas eleições para deputado federal em 2006

Perissinotto, Renato Monseff - Miríade, Angel

Resumen

This article is intended to identify the variables with the greatest impact on a candidate's odds of being elected to the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (the lower house) in the 2006 elections. Based on data from the Superior Electoral Court, the article begins by analyzing the existence of statistically significant correlations between gender, age, occupation, schooling, and campaign spending on the one hand and the election outcome on the other (elected versus not elected). Next, the article presents a bivariate logistic regression model to measure the real impact of each of these variables on the candidate's outcome. These same procedures were repeated for the parties of the right, center, and left. The conclusion is that being a professional politician is the most important variable in determining a candidate's electoral success in Brazil.

Palabras-clave: 2006 elections; National Deputy; candidates; elected; professional politicians.

DOI: 10.1590/S0011-52582009000200002

Texto completo

Caminhos para o parlamento: candidatos e eleitos nas eleições para deputado federal em 2006