Dados es una de las principales publicaciones de ciencias sociales en América Latina. Creada en 1966, publica trabajos inéditos e innovadores, procedentes de investigaciones académicas, de autores brasileños y extranjeros. Editada por IESP-UERJ, tiene como objetivo conciliar el rigor científico y la excelencia académica con un énfasis en el debate público basado en el análisis de temas sustantivos en la sociedad y la política.
Dados vol. 39 n. 3 Rio de Janeiro 1996
Resumen
This brief endeavor to appraise the contemporary world's and Brazil's most likely macrotrends at the run of the century starts with some considerations on the problems of predictability and the possibilities for arriving at a forecast endowed with a reasonable capacity to shed light on the most likely future scenarios. The next section analyses how the world's political picture will probably look at the turn of the century, with special note made of China's emergence as superpower. The article concludes with an analysis of Brazilian alternatives at the dawn of the new century, depending upon whether Fernando Henrique Cardoso is re-elected or candidates such as Lula or Maluf end up in front
Palabras-clave: Political macrotrends; Brazil 21st century; parametral ruptures.
DOI: 10.1590/S0011-52581996000300002
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